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Cooper Rush

Cooper Rush TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Cooper Rush TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to start backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.7% of their chances: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.6% red zone pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 133.0 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • In tallying a paltry 26.1 pass attempts per game this year, Cooper Rush rates among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (16th percentile) by this measure.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • With a subpar 60.0% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Cooper Rush ranks among the least on-target passers in the NFL.
  • With an atrocious ratio of just 1.00 per game (24th percentile), Cooper Rush rates as one of the worst TD passers in football this year.

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