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Cooper Rush

Cooper Rush TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cooper Rush TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-177).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 61.3% red zone pass rate.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

With a subpar 58.6% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Cooper Rush rates among the least accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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