Cooper Rush TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Cooper Rush

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Rush

QB · Dallas Cowboys

TD Passes

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Rush TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.6% pass rate.
Cooper Rush has attempted a measly 27.1 passes per game this year, ranking in the 24th percentile among quarterbacks.
Cooper Rush has been among the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 60.0% Completion%, grading out in the 19th percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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