Cooper Rush Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Cooper Rush

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 2:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Rush Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 40.4% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Rush to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (7.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.0% in games he has played).
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Rush to accumulate 2.0 rush attempts this week, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
Cooper Rush has generated just 2.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest marks in football among QBs (11th percentile).