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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-184/+133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -184.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 132.8 total plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Cooper Kupp to total 8.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Cooper Kupp's 86.0% Route Participation% this year represents a noteworthy diminishment in his pass game usage over last year's 98.4% mark.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 10th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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