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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • This week, Cooper Kupp is predicted by the predictive model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.
  • Cooper Kupp is positioned as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 5.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.
  • Cooper Kupp's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 65.8% to 69.5%.
  • This year, the anemic Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for a massive 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 127.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.0 per game) this year.
  • Cooper Kupp's 86.0% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a meaningful decrease in his pass attack utilization over last year's 98.4% figure.
  • The Rams offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

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