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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

This week, Cooper Kupp is predicted by the predictive model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.

Cooper Kupp is positioned as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 5.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Cooper Kupp's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 65.8% to 69.5%.

This year, the anemic Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for a massive 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 127.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.0 per game) this year.

Cooper Kupp's 86.0% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a meaningful decrease in his pass attack utilization over last year's 98.4% figure.

The Rams offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

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