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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, Cooper Kupp is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.6 targets.

Cooper Kupp's 6.9 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a remarkable gain in his pass-catching talent over last year's 5.0 figure.

Cooper Kupp's 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a substantial boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 65.8% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

Cooper Kupp has run fewer routes this season (86.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (98.4%).

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered a paltry 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 5th-best rate in the league.

The 49ers linebackers project as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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