Cooper Kupp Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback Brett Rypien in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
Cooper Kupp has run a route on 99.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The projections expect Cooper Kupp to total 10.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the model to run only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Rams offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Cooper Kupp's 5.3 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a significant reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 8.1 mark.
Cooper Kupp's 56.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a substantial regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 76.4% rate.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Green Bay's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the league.

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