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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.1% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing squads have played at the 10th-quickest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Rams defense this year, averaging 27.01 seconds per play.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This week, Cooper Kupp is predicted by the model to find himself in the 100th percentile among wideouts with 12.3 targets.
  • With a remarkable 33.5% Target Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Cooper Kupp has been among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Cooper Kupp's 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 76.4% figure.
  • This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed a feeble 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 9th-lowest rate in football.

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