Cooper Kupp Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.1% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing squads have played at the 10th-quickest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Rams defense this year, averaging 27.01 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
This week, Cooper Kupp is predicted by the model to find himself in the 100th percentile among wideouts with 12.3 targets.
With a remarkable 33.5% Target Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Cooper Kupp has been among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
Cooper Kupp's 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 76.4% figure.
This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed a feeble 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 9th-lowest rate in football.

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