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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-113/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 63.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year, averaging 26.60 seconds per snap.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect Cooper Kupp to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense this week (25.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (32.1% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Eagles pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) vs. wideouts this year (62.3%).

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