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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -195.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 135.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

The Rams have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this week's contest, Cooper Kupp is projected by the predictive model to place in the 95th percentile among wideouts with 9.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.

Cooper Kupp's 26.9% Target Rate this season illustrates an impressive regression in his pass attack usage over last season's 32.1% mark.

Cooper Kupp's pass-catching performance worsened this year, compiling just 5.0 adjusted catches compared to 8.1 last year.

Cooper Kupp's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 76.4% to 67.4%.

The Saints pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.5%) to wideouts this year (57.5%).

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