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Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ +100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Rams to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.4% pass rate.The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a colossal 59.8 per game on average).Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.With an extraordinary 95.9% Route% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Cooper Kupp places as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.In this week's contest, Cooper Kupp is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.4 targets.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.0 per game) this year.The Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.Cooper Kupp's 5.9 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a remarkable decrease in his receiving proficiency over last season's 8.2 mark.
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