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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 132.8 total plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Cooper Kupp to total 8.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Cooper Kupp's 86.0% Route Participation% this year represents a noteworthy diminishment in his pass game usage over last year's 98.4% mark.
  • After averaging 72.0 air yards per game last season, Cooper Kupp has significantly declined this season, now pacing 65.0 per game.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Cooper Kupp comes in as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a mere 7.28 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 15th percentile when it comes to WRs
  • Cooper Kupp's skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, averaging a measly 3.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.24 figure last season.

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