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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

At only 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense is positioned as the 9th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

The predictive model expects Cooper Kupp to accrue 9.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

After totaling 72.0 air yards per game last season, Cooper Kupp has seen a big downtick this season, currently pacing 65.0 per game.

Cooper Kupp has posted quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (83.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

Cooper Kupp's 112.8% Route% this year illustrates a remarkable growth in his pass attack workload over last year's 98.4% figure.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Cooper Kupp's 3.63 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a significant regression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.2% rate.

The Patriots pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.66 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-fewest in football.

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