Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 81.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 82.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Rams are predicted by the projections to call 65.7 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Rams have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in football.
With an elite 97.3% Route Participation% (99th percentile) this year, Cooper Kupp places among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.
The model projects Cooper Kupp to notch 10.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Rams offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Cooper Kupp's 68.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates a substantial decline in his receiving skills over last season's 84.0 rate.
Cooper Kupp's 53.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 76.4% figure.
Cooper Kupp's 4.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a significant regression in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 6.9% figure.
This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a feeble 7.7 yards.

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