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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 93.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 4th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 64.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to notch 11.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Cooper Kupp has put up a monstrous 98.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among wideouts.
  • Cooper Kupp's 85.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 71.9.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 57.2 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
  • Cooper Kupp's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, notching a mere 8.86 yards-per-target vs a 10.36 rate last year.

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