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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-109/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (31.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (25.0% in games he has played).
  • Cooper Kupp's 80.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 71.9.
  • Cooper Kupp's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 75.4% to 78.6%.
  • Cooper Kupp grades out in the 96th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.67 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • Cooper Kupp has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (90.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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