Cooper Kupp Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Cooper Kupp has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 33.3% this year, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
Cooper Kupp has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (104.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (57%) versus wide receivers this year (57.0%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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