Cooper Kupp Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
Cooper Kupp has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 28.2% this year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
Cooper Kupp's 80.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 71.9.
Cooper Kupp's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 75.4% to 78.8%.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Cooper Kupp has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed the 8th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to WRs: 0.67 per game this year.

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