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Connor Heyward Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.Our trusted projections expect Connor Heyward to accumulate 3.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs.After accumulating 6.0 air yards per game last season, Connor Heyward has produced significantly more this season, currently boasting 18.0 per game.With a RATE1-RATE2 point gain in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Connor Heyward has been more heavily utilized in his offense's pass attack.The Titans pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.3%) to TEs this year (78.3%).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year.Connor Heyward's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 81.3% to 67.7%.Connor Heyward's pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating just 5.40 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.76 figure last season.With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Connor Heyward ranks as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.
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