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Colt McCoy

Colt McCoy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Colt McCoy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Colt McCoy to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (12.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.6% in games he has played).
  • The Denver Broncos defensive ends project as the 3rd-worst DE corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Colt McCoy's running effectiveness has declined this year, notching a measly 2.47 yards-per-carry compared to a 3.96 mark last year.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have utilized some form of misdirection on just 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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