Colt McCoy Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Colt McCoy

NFL · Player Props

Colt McCoy

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Colt McCoy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (+110/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 225.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 225.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Colt McCoy in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals have utilized play action on 30.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 7th-least yards in football (just 212.0 per game) versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, surrendering 7.24 yards-per-target: the 8th-least in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.17 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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