Cole Turner Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Cole Turner

TE · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 14, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Cole Turner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
The Washington Commanders O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders have used play action on 34.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.