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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -5-point underdogs.

The Bears O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

With a stellar 85.4% Adjusted Catch% (96th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet ranks as one of the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.85 seconds per play, the projections expect the Bears to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Cole Kmet has been a less important option in his team's passing offense this season (10.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (20.4%).

Cole Kmet's 3.5 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a material reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.9 mark.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

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