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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+126/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Cole Kmet to earn 4.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.

THE BLITZ projects Cole Kmet to be a more important option in his team's pass attack this week (17.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (11.6% in games he has played).

Cole Kmet has been among the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.

The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 46.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.41 seconds per snap.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Cole Kmet's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.2% to 41.5%.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

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