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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.0 (-105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Cole Kmet has run a route on 83.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Cole Kmet to total 5.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.
  • Cole Kmet has been among the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 2.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.
  • Cole Kmet's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.2% to 73.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 43.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.42 seconds per play.
  • The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in football.

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