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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bears offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.50 seconds per play.
  • Our trusted projections expect Cole Kmet to accumulate 4.5 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile among TEs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Cole Kmet grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a striking 38.0 per game.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.
  • Cole Kmet is positioned as one of the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 45.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.
  • Cole Kmet's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 41.2.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.2%) versus TEs this year (72.2%).
  • This year, the fierce Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a feeble 4.2 YAC.

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