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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -5-point underdogs.

The Bears O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

With a stellar 85.4% Adjusted Catch% (96th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet ranks as one of the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends.

Cole Kmet's receiving effectiveness has gotten better this year, compiling 9.29 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 8.26 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.85 seconds per play, the projections expect the Bears to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Cole Kmet has been a less important option in his team's passing offense this season (10.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (20.4%).

After averaging 32.0 air yards per game last year, Cole Kmet has seen a big downtick this year, currently sitting at 24.0 per game.

Cole Kmet's 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a noteable reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 48.0 figure.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

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