My Account Log Out

reorder

Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 61.9% pass rate.

The Chicago Bears have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.8 plays per game.

In this week's game, Cole Kmet is projected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.2 targets.

Cole Kmet has put up a whopping 30.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 123.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

Cole Kmet's 27.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 41.2.

This year, the formidable San Francisco 49ers defense has given up a mere 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-fewest in football.

This year, the daunting San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.8 yards.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™