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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.

In regards to air yards, Cole Kmet ranks in the lofty 85th percentile among TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 31.0 per game.

In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cole Kmet's 14.2% Target Rate this year reflects a noteworthy decline in his passing attack volume over last year's 20.4% figure.

Cole Kmet's 40.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a significant reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 48.0 rate.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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