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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.16 seconds per play.

Cole Kmet has put up a whopping 33.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

With a remarkable 45.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (90th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet rates as one of the best pass-game TEs in the NFL.

Cole Kmet's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 83.1% to 91.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Cole Kmet's 13.9% Target Share this year signifies an impressive reduction in his passing game volume over last year's 20.4% rate.

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