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Cole Kmet
NFL · Player Props
Cole Kmet
TE · Chicago Bears
Receiving Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears · Week 3, 2023 Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:41 PM UTC
NFL Props Cole Kmet Receiving Yards

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Cole Kmet to earn 5.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among TEs.
  • Cole Kmet has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 20.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 97th percentile among TEs.
  • Cole Kmet has totaled a whopping 33.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 88th percentile among tight ends.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.
  • Cole Kmet's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 74.3% to 68.8%.
  • Cole Kmet's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, averaging a measly 6.84 yards-per-target compared to a 8.00 figure last year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.07 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-least in football.
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