Cole Kmet Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Cole Kmet

NFL · Player Props

Cole Kmet

TE · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
Cole Kmet has run a route on 84.2% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Cole Kmet to garner 4.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
Cole Kmet has accrued a colossal 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among tight ends.
Cole Kmet has been among the leading pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 34.0 yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.53 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-least in football.

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