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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's contest, Cole Kmet is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 86th percentile among tight ends with 5.6 targets.

With an elite 19.7% Target Share (92nd percentile) this year, Cole Kmet rates as one of the TEs with the most usage in football.

Cole Kmet has totaled a whopping 31.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Cole Kmet's 45.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a significant growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 32.0 mark.

Cole Kmet's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 74.3% to 84.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.

In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

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