Cole Kmet Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Cole Kmet

NFL · Player Props

Cole Kmet

TE · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this contest, Cole Kmet is forecasted by the model to land in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.5 targets.
When talking about air yards, Cole Kmet ranks in the towering 78th percentile among TEs this year, averaging an astounding 28.0 per game.
Cole Kmet's 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents an impressive improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 32.0 figure.
Cole Kmet's 84.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a substantial progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 74.3% mark.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 48.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Bears offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.87 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.
Cole Kmet's 73.8% Route Participation Rate this season shows a significant drop-off in his pass game utilization over last season's 84.0% figure.
The Browns defense has conceded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 27.0) versus TEs this year.

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