My Account Log Out

reorder

Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects Cole Kmet to total 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among TEs.

Cole Kmet's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten better this season, averaging 8.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 3.97 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.62 seconds per snap.

Cole Kmet has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (23.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).

Cole Kmet's 30.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 38.7.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™