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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Rams to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.4% pass rate.

The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a colossal 59.8 per game on average).

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

Colby Parkinson has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (80.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (33.3%).

In this week's contest, Colby Parkinson is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 91st percentile among TEs with 6.0 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.0 per game) this year.

The Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.

Colby Parkinson's 61.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows an impressive decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 80.9% mark.

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