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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • Colby Parkinson has been used less as a potential target this season (81.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (33.3%).
  • In this game, Colby Parkinson is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.1 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Colby Parkinson's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 80.9% to 68.9%.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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