My Account Log Out
 
 
Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Colby Parkinson has been less involved as a potential target this season (54.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (33.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Colby Parkinson's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 80.9% to 66.9%.
  • The 49ers linebackers project as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™