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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -210.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.

Colby Parkinson has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (71.4% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (33.3%).

Colby Parkinson's pass-catching performance been refined this year, accumulating 3.2 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 1.8 last year.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.

The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Colby Parkinson's 64.7% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 80.9% figure.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (66.2%) versus TEs this year (66.2%).

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