Colby Parkinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Colby Parkinson

NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per snap.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.7%) versus tight ends this year (78.7%).
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Cincinnati's unit has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Colby Parkinson has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, playing on 56.6% of snaps vs just 40.0% last season.
Colby Parkinson's 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a a significant diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 78.9% rate.

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