Colby Parkinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Colby Parkinson

NFL · Player Props

Colby Parkinson

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 3, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
Colby Parkinson's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 78.9% to 85.7%.
The Giants safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.9%) vs. tight ends this year (64.9%).

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