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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 133.3 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

The Los Angeles Rams have run the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

The projections expect Colby Parkinson to accumulate 4.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Colby Parkinson's 12.4% Target% this season represents a meaningful growth in his passing game volume over last season's 5.5% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.

The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Colby Parkinson's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 80.9% to 67.8%.

Colby Parkinson's pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, averaging a measly 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.39 rate last season.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, surrendering 6.56 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.

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