My Account Log Out

reorder

Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The 49ers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (35.4 per game) since the start of last season.

This week, Colby Parkinson is expected by the projections to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.7 targets.

Our trusted projections expect Colby Parkinson to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.0% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.98 seconds per play.

Since the start of last season, the daunting San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a mere 6.4 yards.

The 49ers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.11 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

More Colby Parkinson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™