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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 132.8 total plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year.
  • Colby Parkinson ranks in the 76th percentile among tight ends this year with a staggering 7.6% of his team's air yards accumulated.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While Colby Parkinson has garnered 9.5% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's passing attack this week at 3.0%.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Colby Parkinson's 65.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a material reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 80.9% mark.
  • Colby Parkinson's 6.2 adjusted yards per target this season shows a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 8.4 rate.
  • The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.6%) to TEs this year (73.6%).

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