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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Colby Parkinson has been less involved as a potential target this season (54.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (33.3%).

Colby Parkinson's 5.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a material growth in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 3.4% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

Colby Parkinson's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 80.9% to 66.9%.

Colby Parkinson's 6.6 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a material decline in his receiving ability over last year's 8.4 rate.

The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 34.0) to tight ends this year.

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