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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Rams as the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

Colby Parkinson has put up significantly more air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (13.0 per game).

Colby Parkinson's ability to grind out extra yardage has been refined this year, notching 5.23 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 3.36 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Colby Parkinson to be a much smaller part of his team's pass game in this contest (5.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.1% in games he has played).

In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Colby Parkinson's 66.1% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects an impressive decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 80.9% rate.

Colby Parkinson's pass-game efficiency has worsened this year, notching a measly 6.53 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.39 figure last year.

More Colby Parkinson Player Props

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