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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • Colby Parkinson has accumulated many more air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (4.0 per game).
  • Colby Parkinson's 13.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 4.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus TEs this year, surrendering 6.18 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.29 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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