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Cody Hollister

Cody Hollister Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Cody Hollister Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+129/-173).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Cody Hollister to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack this week (8.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played).
  • The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Tennessee Titans have incorporated play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Cody Hollister has been among the worst pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 1.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers.

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