Cody Hollister Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Cody Hollister

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Cody Hollister Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Cody Hollister to be much more involved in his offense's passing game this week (8.9% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (0.9% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
Cody Hollister has put up a puny 4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among wide receivers.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 125.0) vs. WRs this year.